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Institute for Economies in Transition, Bank of Finland BOFIT Discussion Papers, Institute for Economies in Transition, Bank of Finland

No 20/2011:
Identifying structural shocks behind loan supply fluctuations in Russia

Elena B. Deryugina () and Alexey A. Ponomarenko

Abstract: We examine the drivers behind loan supply fluctuations in Russia using Bayesian vector autoregressive model with sign restrictions on impulse response functions. We identify two types of structural innovations: loan supply shock and monetary stance shock. We find that contractionary shocks of both types contributed significantly and in the roughly equal measure to the decrease of bank lending after the Lehman Brothers collapse.

Keywords: loan supply; Bayesian VAR; sign restrictions; financial crisis; Russia; (follow links to similar papers)

JEL-Codes: C11; C32; E51; (follow links to similar papers)

38 pages, August 22, 2011

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