SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
No 286:
Vietnam - Ready for Doi Moi II?
Ari Kokko ()
Abstract: Compared with its ASEAN neighbors, Vietnam appears to have
weathered the Asian crisis quite well. Official statistics indicate a GDP
growth rate of 6.6 per cent for the first half of 1998; export growth
remains positive, and the dong has depreciated by only 20 per cent against
the USD. But the relatively favorable picture has more to do with controls
than with sound economic fundamentals. In the absence of comprehensive
reforms, the Vietnamese economy will gradually slide into a deeper
recession. Influential interest groups, such as SOEs and their employees,
hanker after return to central planning. What is needed instead is a Doi
Moi II, including measures to liberalize trade, strengthen the financial
system and promote transparency throughout the economy.
Keywords: Vietnam; Asian crisis; reform; transition; (follow links to similar papers)
JEL-Codes: F30; F40; O53; P27; P33; (follow links to similar papers)
14 pages, December 1, 1998
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- This paper is published as:
-
Kokko, Ari, (1998), 'Vietnam - Ready for Doi Moi II?', Asean Economic Bulletin, Vol. 15, December 1998, No. 3, pages 319-327
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