SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
No 474:
A Numerical Analysis of the Evolutionary Stability of Learning Rules
Jens Josephson ()
Abstract: In this paper I define an evolutionary stability criterion
for learning rules. Using Monte Carlo simulations, I then apply this
criterion to a class of learning rules that can be represented by Camerer
and Ho's (1999) model of learning. This class contains perturbed versions
of reinforcement and belief learning as special cases. A large population
of individuals with learning rules in this class are repeatedly rematched
for a finite number of periods and play one out of four symmetric
two-player games. Belief learning is the only learning rule which is
evolutionarily stable in almost all cases, whereas reinforcement learning
is unstable in almost all cases. I also find that in certain games, the
stability of intermediate learning rules hinges critically on a parameter
of the model and the relative payoffs.
Keywords: Bounded rationality; Evolutionary game theory; Evolutionary Stability; Learning in games; Belief learning; Reinforcement learning.; (follow links to similar papers)
JEL-Codes: C72; C73; (follow links to similar papers)
29 pages, November 15, 2001
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