Scandinavian Working Papers in Economics
HomeAboutSeriesSubject/JEL codesAdvanced Search
HUI Research HUI Working Papers, HUI Research

No 89:
How Do Neighboring Populations Affect Local Population Change over Time?

Mengjie Han, Johan Håkansson () and Lars Rönnegård

Abstract: This study covers a period when society changed from a pre-industrial agricultural society to a post-industrial service-producing society. Parallel with this social transformation, major population changes took place. In this study, we analyse how local population changes are affected by neighbouring populations. To do so we use the last 200 years of local population change that redistributed population in Sweden. We use literature to identify several different processes and spatial dependencies in the redistribution between a parish and its surrounding parishes. The analysis is based on a unique unchanged historical parish division, and we use an index of local spatial correlation to describe different kinds of spatial dependencies that have influenced the redistribution of the population. To control inherent time dependencies, we introduce a non-separable spatial temporal correlation model into the analysis of population redistribution. Hereby, several different spatial dependencies can be observed simultaneously over time. The main conclusions are that while local population changes have been highly dependent on the neighbouring populations in the 19th century, this spatial dependence have become insignificant already when two parishes is separated by 5 kilometres in the late 20th century. Another conclusion is that the time dependency in the population change is higher when the population redistribution is weak, as it currently is and as it was during the 19th century until the start of industrial revolution.

Keywords: population redistribution; spatial dependency; Local Moran’s I; non-separable time space correlation model; Sweden; (follow links to similar papers)

JEL-Codes: C21; J10; N33; N34; (follow links to similar papers)

29 pages, April 24, 2013

Before downloading any of the electronic versions below you should read our statement on copyright.
Download GhostScript for viewing Postscript files and the Acrobat Reader for viewing and printing pdf files.

Full text versions of the paper:

BinaryLoader.axd?OwnerID= ... Iwp89.pdf&Attachment=True    PDF-file
Download Statistics

Questions (including download problems) about the papers in this series should be directed to Helena Nilsson ()
Report other problems with accessing this service to Sune Karlsson () or Helena Lundin ().

Programing by
Design by Joachim Ekebom

Handle: RePEc:hhs:huiwps:0089 This page was generated on 2015-09-23 21:46:29