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IFAU - Institute for Evaluation of Labour Market and Education Policy Working Paper Series
IFAU - Institute for Evaluation of Labour Market and Education Policy

No 2004:1:
Statistically assisted programme selection - International experiences and potential benefits for Switzerland

Markus Frölich (), Michael Lechner () and Heidi Steiger ()

Abstract: The need for better targeting of active labour market programmes is evident from the many evaluation studies that find insignificant or even negative effects. A statistical system could contribute to a more precise targeting of labour market programmes to those individuals who are likely to benefit from them. Such a system could assist caseworkers in selecting adequate programmes on an individual basis. In this paper, international experiences with these systems are surveyed and a potential approach for Switzerland is developed. The simulated outcomes indicate that a statistical selection system could have contributed to a substantial re-employment increase.

Keywords: Active labour market policy; profiling; targeting; statistical treatment rules; (follow links to similar papers)

JEL-Codes: J68; (follow links to similar papers)

31 pages, September 1, 2003

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This paper is published as:
Frölich, Markus, Michael Lechner and Heidi Steiger, (2003), 'Statistically assisted programme selection - International experiences and potential benefits for Switzerland', Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 139, No. 3, pages 311-331



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