Working Paper Series
Local Economies and General Elections: The Influence of Municipal and Regional Economic Conditions on Voting in Sweden 1985–2002
Abstract: This paper presents a detailed analysis of voters’
responses to municipality and regional-level unemployment and economic
growth, using panel data on 284 municipalities and 9 regions, covering
Swedish general elections from 1982 to 2002. The preferred specification
suggests that a reduction in regional unemployment by one percentage point
is associated with an increase in the support for the national government
by about 1.7 percentage points. The effect of growth, at the regional
level, is substantial in size, but statistically insignificant. At the
municipality level, unemployment has a smaller effect than at the regional
level and growth has no effect on government support.
Keywords: Elections; Voting; Local Economic Conditions; (follow links to similar papers)
JEL-Codes: H11; R11; R12; R58; (follow links to similar papers)
24 pages, January 5, 2010
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- This paper is forthcoming as:
Elinder, Mikael, 'Local Economies and General Elections: The Influence of Municipal and Regional Economic Conditions on Voting in Sweden 1985–2002', European Journal of Political Economy.
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