Working Papers, Department of Economics, Lund University
Temporary Jobs and the Exit to Open-Ended Jobs in the Swedish Labour Market.
Abstract: This paper analyses exit probabilities from different
types of temporary jobs to open-ended jobs in Sweden during 1991-1999. The
main aim of the study is to illuminate how the exit probabilities, and
their determinants, differ by type of temporary job. A second focus is how
the exit probabilities differ depending on origin and gender, i.e. a
segmentation aspect. The results show that the exit probabilities differ
between different types of temporary jobs, and that variables that have
been shown to affect the incidence of temporary jobs, also in many cases
are significant determinants of the probability to leave (or not leave) a
temporary job. Our results also show that all types of temporary jobs (but
probation) on average perform rather poorly as stepping-stones into
open-ended jobs. By calculating predicted exit probabilities we also show
that there are differences between the genders, and also between native
origins. The probability to exit to open-ended jobs are on average lower
for females than for males, and they are also, on average, lower for
foreign-born workers than for native Swedes.
Keywords: Temporary jobs; exit probability; foreign-born; gender; segmentation; (follow links to similar papers)
JEL-Codes: J21; J40; J49; (follow links to similar papers)
28 pages, November 30, 2004
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