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Department of Economics, Lund University Working Papers, Department of Economics, Lund University

No 2011:23:
A Matter of Time: Revisiting Growth Convergence in China

Fredrik N. G. Andersson (), David Edgerton () and Sonja Opper ()

Abstract: China’s unbalanced growth strategy has seemingly fostered growing inter-regional growth disparities and there is little evidence of wealth trickling down from richer provinces to poorer provinces. Given pronounced and frequent inter-regional short-term fluctuations in economic growth, standard convergence tests, however, may be ill specified to detect underlying long-term growth trends in small samples. Our paper suggests a novel approach to distinguish between long-term growth trends and short-term fluctuations. Based on provincial data from 1978 to 2009, our results indicate that China’s provinces only diverge over the short-term. Over the long term, provinces cluster into two converging growth clubs.

Keywords: regional convergence; developing countries; growth; China; (follow links to similar papers)

JEL-Codes: O14; O33; O41; R11; (follow links to similar papers)

37 pages, July 4, 2011, Revised March 1, 2012

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This paper is published as:
Andersson, Fredrik N. G., David Edgerton and Sonja Opper, (2013), 'A Matter of Time: Revisiting Growth Convergence in China', World Development, Vol. 45, pages 239-251



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