Scandinavian Working Papers in Economics
HomeAboutSeriesSubject/JEL codesAdvanced Search
Department of Economics, Lund University Working Papers, Department of Economics, Lund University

No 2015:34:
Credit-Implied Forward Volatility and Volatility Expectations

Hans Byström ()

Abstract: We show how one can back out implied forward volatility term structures from credit default swap spreads. Such forward stock volatility term structures are useful for instance in forward start option pricing. We find the term structure to be downward-sloping, and the credit market's volatility forecasts tend to vary more across time than across maturities. Long-term volatility expectations, in turn, are found to be low and stable while short-term expectations are higher and more volatile. The volatility expectation’s mean-reversion rate, finally, indicates that the credit market expects volatility shocks in the equity market to last for several years.

Keywords: CDS; implied volatility term structure; forward volatility; forward start options; (follow links to similar papers)

JEL-Codes: G01; G10; (follow links to similar papers)

17 pages, September 3, 2015

Before downloading any of the electronic versions below you should read our statement on copyright.
Download GhostScript for viewing Postscript files and the Acrobat Reader for viewing and printing pdf files.

Full text versions of the paper:

wp15_34.pdf    PDF-file
Download Statistics

Questions (including download problems) about the papers in this series should be directed to David Edgerton ()
Report other problems with accessing this service to Sune Karlsson () or Helena Lundin ().

Programing by
Design by Joachim Ekebom

Handle: RePEc:hhs:lunewp:2015_034 This page was generated on 2015-12-04 11:08:32