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Department of Economics, Norwegian School of Economics (NHH) Discussion Paper Series in Economics, Department of Economics, Norwegian School of Economics (NHH)

No 31/2014:
Climate Variability and International Migration: an empirical analysis.

Nicola D. Coniglio () and Giovanni Pesce

Abstract: Is international migration an adaptation strategy to sudden or gradual climatic shocks? In this paper we investigate the direct and the indirect role of climatic shocks in developing countries as a determinant of out-migration flows toward rich OECD countries in the period 1990-2001. Contrarily to the bulk of existing studies we use a macro approach and explicitly consider the heterogeneity of climatic shocks (type, size, sign of shocks and seasonal effects). Our results show that the occurrence of adverse climatic events in origin countries has significative direct and indirect effects on out-migration from poor to rich countries.

Keywords: Climate shocks; international migration.; (follow links to similar papers)

JEL-Codes: F22; Q54; (follow links to similar papers)

36 pages, October 28, 2014

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