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Department of Business and Management Science, Norwegian School of Economics (NHH) Discussion Papers, Department of Business and Management Science, Norwegian School of Economics (NHH)

No 2008/9:
Credit Spreads and Incomplete Information

Snorre Lindset (), Arne-Christian Lund () and Svein-Arne Persson ()

Abstract: A new model is presented which produces credit spreads that do not converge to zero for short maturities. Our set-up includes incomplete, i.e., delayed and asymmetric information. When the financial market observes the company's earnings with a delay, the effect on both default policy and credit spreads is negligible, compared to the Leland (1994) model. When information is asymmetrically distributed between the management of the company and the financial market, short credit spreads do not converge to zero. This is result is similar to the Duffie and Lando (2001) model, although our simpler model improves some limitations in their set-up. Short interest rates from our model are used to illustrate effects similar to the dry-up in the interbank market experienced after the summer of 2007.

Keywords: Credit risk; credit spreads; delayed information; asymmetric information; (follow links to similar papers)

JEL-Codes: G12; G33; (follow links to similar papers)

39 pages, March 12, 2008

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