Occasional Studies, Konjunkturinstitutet - National Institute of Economic Research
The long-term sustainability of Sweden's public finances
Abstract: One of the recurring tasks of the NIER is to evaluate the
long-term sustainability of Sweden's public finances. Long-term
sustainability can be said to prevail if public income and expenditure over
time is balanced in a way which does not give rise to longterm structural
deficits. Evaluating long-term sustainability amounts to implementing
long-term projections of public income and expenditure under the assumption
that policy remains unchanged. These projections are based on long-term
forecasts of population growth and simplified assumptions of the
development of the economy in the long term. The objective is not to create
a long-term forecast for Sweden's public finances, but to study scenarios
with a view to identifying at an early stage any risks of imbalances
building up as a result of current policy.
66 pages, May 5, 2015
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