Working Papers, Konjunkturinstitutet - National Institute of Economic Research
Survey Data and Short-Term Forecasts of Swedish GDP Growth
Abstract: In this paper, the author evaluates forecasting models for
Swedish GDP growth which make use of data from Sweden´s most important
business survey, the Economic Tendency Survey.
Employing nine years of
quarterly real-time data, an out-of-sample forecast exercise is conducted.
Results indicate that the survey data have informational value that can be
used to improve forecasts, thereby confirming the empirical relevance of
survey data for GDP forecasters.
Keywords: Out-of-sample forecasts; Real-time data; (follow links to similar papers)
JEL-Codes: E22; E27; (follow links to similar papers)
15 pages, September 13, 2013
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