S-WoPEc
 
Scandinavian Working Papers in Economics
HomeAboutSeriesSubject/JEL codesAdvanced Search
CERE - the Center for Environmental and Resource Economics CERE Working Papers, CERE - the Center for Environmental and Resource Economics

No 2015:9:
Preference Cloud Theory: Imprecise Preferences and Preference Reversals

Oben K. Bayrak () and John D. Hey ()

Abstract: This paper presents a new theory, called Preference Cloud Theory, of decision-making under uncertainty. This new theory provides an explanation for empirically-observed Preference reversals. Central to the theory is the incorporation of preference imprecision which arises because of individuals’ vague understanding of numerical probabilities. We combine this concept with the use of the Alpha model (which builds on Hurwicz’s criterion) and construct a simple model which helps us to understand various anomalies discovered in the experimental economics literature that standard models cannot explain.

Keywords: Imprecise Preferences; Preference Reversals; Decision under Uncertainty; Anomalies in Expected Utility Theory; (follow links to similar papers)

JEL-Codes: D81; (follow links to similar papers)

11 pages, September 8, 2015

Before downloading any of the electronic versions below you should read our statement on copyright.
Download GhostScript for viewing Postscript files and the Acrobat Reader for viewing and printing pdf files.

Full text versions of the paper:

672-preference-cloud-theo ... preference-reversals.html    PDF-file
Download Statistics

Questions (including download problems) about the papers in this series should be directed to Mona Bonta Bergman ()
Report other problems with accessing this service to Sune Karlsson () or Helena Lundin ().

Programing by
Design by Joachim Ekebom

Handle: RePEc:hhs:slucer:2015_009 This page was generated on 2015-09-08 13:02:34