Scandinavian Working Papers in Economics

Working Paper Series,
Uppsala University, Department of Economics

No 2007:26: Simulating the future of the Swedish baby-boom generations

N. Anders Klevmarken (), Kristian Bolin, Matias Eklöf, Lennart Flood, Urban Fransson, Daniel Hallberg, Sören Höjgård, Björn Lindgren, Andrea Mitrut and Mårten Lagergren
Additional contact information
N. Anders Klevmarken: Department of Economics, Postal: Uppsala University, P.O. Box 513, SE-751 20 Uppsala, Sweden
Kristian Bolin: LUCHE, Postal: Lund University
Matias Eklöf: Department of Economics, Postal: Uppsala University, P.O. Box 513, SE-751 20 Uppsala, Sweden
Lennart Flood: Department of Economics, Postal: Göteborg University
Urban Fransson: Göteborg University and IBF
Daniel Hallberg: Department of Economics, Postal: Uppsala University, P.O. Box 513, SE-751 20 Uppsala, Sweden,
Sören Höjgård: LUCHE, Postal: Lund University
Björn Lindgren: LUCHE, Postal: Lund University
Andrea Mitrut: Department of Economics,, Postal: Göteborg University
Mårten Lagergren: Stockholm Gerontology Research Center

Abstract: For the purpose of studying the consequences of the ageing of the Swedish population a group of scientists have enlarged the microsimulation model SESIM - originally developed at the Swedish Ministry of Finance - with modules that simulate health status, take up of sickness benefits, retirement, the utilization of health care and social care and the dynamics of the income and wealth distributions. This paper motivates and reviews the structure of these modules with a focus on problems and solutions. It also summarizes the main results of the simulations. A complete description of the models and results are forthcoming in a volume included in the Elsevier series Contributions to Economic Analysis.

Keywords: Microsimulation; Ageing; Retirement; Health status; Health care; Social care; Distribution of Income; Distribution of Wealth; Poverty

JEL-codes: C15; C50; D10; D31; H24; H31; H55; I12; I32; J10; J22; J26; R21; R23

60 pages, June 15, 2007

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