BOFIT Discussion Papers, Institute for Economies in Transition, Bank of Finland
No 16/2006:
Volatility transmissions between renminbi and Asia-Pacific on-shore and off-shore U.S. dollar futures
Roberta Colavecchio ()
and Michael Funke
Abstract: This paper uses multivariate GARCH techniques to study
volatility spillovers between the Chinese non-deliverable forward market
and seven of its Asia-Pacific counterparts over the period January 1998 to
March 2005. To account for the time-variability of conditional correlation,
a dynamic correlation structure is included in the volatility model
specification. The empirical results demonstrate that the renminbi
non-deliverable forward (NDF) has been a driver of various Asian currency
markets but that such co-movements exhibit a substantial degree of
heterogeneity. As to the determinants of the magnitude of these
co-movements, we test the relevance of potential factors and find that it
is the degree of real and financial integration, in particular, that exerts
the largest influence on volatility transmission.
Keywords: China; renminbi; Asia; forward exchange rates; non-deliverable forward market; multivariate GARCH models; (follow links to similar papers)
JEL-Codes: C22; F31; F36; (follow links to similar papers)
34 pages, October 26, 2006
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