BOFIT Discussion Papers, Institute for Economies in Transition, Bank of Finland
No 25/2008:
Exchange rate pass-through in the global economy – the role of emerging market economies
Matthieu Bussière ()
and Tuomas Peltonen
Abstract: This paper estimates export and import price equations for
41 countries –including 28 emerging market economies. Further, it relates
the estimated elasticities to structural factors and tests for statistical
breaks in the relation between trade prices and exchange rates. Results
indicate that (i) the elasticity of trade prices in emerging markets is
sizeable, but not significantly higher than in advanced economies; (ii)
such elasticity is primarily influenced by macroeconomic factors such as
the exchange rate regime and the inflationary environment, although
microeconomic factors such as product differentiation also play a role;
(iii) export and import price elasticities tend to be strongly correlated
across countries; (iv) pass-through to import prices has declined in some
advanced economies, noticeably the United States; this is consistent with a
rise in pricing-to-market in several EMEs and especially with a change in
the geographical composition of U.S. imports.
Keywords: emerging market economies; exchange rate pass-through; pricing-to-market; local and producer currency pricing; exchange rate regime; (follow links to similar papers)
JEL-Codes: F10; F30; F41; (follow links to similar papers)
53 pages, December 13, 2008
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