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Institute for Economies in Transition, Bank of Finland BOFIT Discussion Papers, Institute for Economies in Transition, Bank of Finland

No 7/2011:
Households’ response to economic crisis

Petr Jakubik ()

Abstract: This paper studies the economic impact of the current global economic downturn on the household sector. Household budgets can be negatively affected by declines in nominal wages and increases in unemployment. We empirically test this effect for the small open emerging economy. As a result of a lack of individual data on household finances, micro data are simulated. Our analysis clearly shows that there is a significant additional decline in consumption related to an increase in household default rates and unemployment. We find that potential household insolvencies have important implications for the financial system as well as for the macroeconomy.

Keywords: credit cycle; households’ distress; insolvency; household default; aggregate consumption; (follow links to similar papers)

JEL-Codes: G28; G32; G33; G38; (follow links to similar papers)

30 pages, May 6, 2011, Revised May 16, 2011

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