Scandinavian Working Papers in Economics

Working Papers,
Copenhagen Business School, Department of Economics

No 3-2022: Measuring Labor Market Transitions in Europe: Identification and Validation Analysis

Daniel Borowczyk-Martins () and David Pacini ()
Additional contact information
Daniel Borowczyk-Martins: Department of Economics, Copenhagen Business School, Postal: Copenhagen Business School, Department of Economics, Porcelaenshaven 16 A. 1. floor, DK-2000 Frederiksberg, Denmark
David Pacini: University of Bristol

Abstract: We consider the problem of measuring transition probabilities across employment, unemployment and nonparticipation when longitudinal data is not available and/or the available retrospective data is measured with error. We establish nonparametric point-identification conditions from time series of cross sections, focusing on the European Union Labor Force Survey (EULFS) microdata released by Eurostat, and assess their validity using auxiliary panel data for Portugal and the United Kingdom. We find that the variables in the EULFS do not satisfy the identification conditions. Consequently, we propose alternative data-releasing solutions allowing users to measure transitions from EULFS data while satisfying the existing legal requirements.

Keywords: Retrospective data; Measurement error; Labor force surveys

JEL-codes: C26; C52; E24; J21

Language: English

32 pages, January 31, 2022

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