Scandinavian Working Papers in Economics

Working Paper Series in Economics and Institutions of Innovation,
Royal Institute of Technology, CESIS - Centre of Excellence for Science and Innovation Studies

No 438: The Lumpiness of German Exports and Imports of Goods

Joachim Wagner ()
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Joachim Wagner: Leuphana University Lueneburg, Germany, & Centre of Excellence for Science and Innovation Studies (CESIS), KTH, Sweden, Postal: Institute of Economics, PO Box 2440, D-21314 Lueneburg, , Germany

Abstract: This paper looks at a hitherto neglected extensive margin of international trade by investigating for the first time the frequency at which German exporters and importers trade a given good with a given country. Imports and exports show a high degree of lumpiness. In a given year about half of all firm-good-country combinations are recorded only once or twice for trade with EU-countries, and this is the case for more than 60 percent of all firm-good-country combinations in trade with non-EU countries. The frequency of recorded transactions tends to decline with an increase in the number of transactions per year. This is in accordance with the presence of per-shipment fixed costs that provide an incentive for trading firms to engage in cross-border transactions infrequently. Empirical models show that for Germany the frequency of transactions at the firm-good-country level tends to decrease with an increase in per-shipment costs when unobserved firm and goods characteristics are controlled for.

Keywords: Lumpiness of trade; imports; exports; Germany

JEL-codes: F14

41 pages, May 10, 2016

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