Scandinavian Working Papers in Economics

Working Paper Series in Economics and Institutions of Innovation,
Royal Institute of Technology, CESIS - Centre of Excellence for Science and Innovation Studies

No 492: Science-based emission targets and risk-adjusted portfolio return: An analysis using global SBTi-validated stocks

Petter Dahlström (), Hans Lööf (), Maziar Sahamkhadam (), Andreas Stephan () and Emma Rui Lu ()
Additional contact information
Petter Dahlström: Royal Institute of Technology
Hans Lööf: Royal Institute of Technology
Maziar Sahamkhadam: Linnaeus University
Andreas Stephan: Linnaeus University
Emma Rui Lu: Royal Institute of Technology

Abstract: This paper investigates the financial importance of voluntarily disclosing climate commitments and independent expert-validated action plans. We construct portfolios of 1,518 global stocks of firms that have set science-based (SBTi) emission targets in line with the goals of the Paris Agreement. Coarsened exact matching is used to create benchmark portfolios of otherwise similar global stocks but without expert-validated emission targets. Using the five-factor Fama-French model, the results show positive and statistically significant larger risk-adjusted excess returns for the SBTi portfolios in the post-SBTi validation period. This finding is more pronounced for stocks from high CO2 emission industries as well as for stocks of firms with CO2 emissions above the industry average. Overall, the results support the view that investors should prefer a portfolio of SBTi-validated stocks also since it carries lower climate-related risks.

Keywords: Risk adjusted return; carbon emission; emission disclosure; Fama French; SBTi

JEL-codes: D62; G11; G23; G30

Language: English

21 pages, March 27, 2023

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