Scandinavian Working Papers in Economics

Discussion Papers,
Statistics Norway, Research Department

No 1005: A new approach to estimating private returns to R&D

Ådne Cappelen (), Pierre Mohnen (), Arvid Raknerud () and Marina Rybalka ()
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Marina Rybalka: Statistics Norway

Abstract: This paper revisits the estimation of private returns to R&D. In an extension of the standard approach, we allow for endogeneity of production decisions, heterogeneity of R&D elasticities, and asymmetric treatment of intramural and extramural R&D. Our empirical analyses are based on an extended Cobb-Douglas production function that allows for firms with zero R&D capital, which is especially useful for studying firms’ transition from being R&D-non—active to becoming R&D-active. Using a large panel of Norwegian firms observed in the period 2001-2018, we estimate the average private net return to be in the range 0-5 percent across a variety of model specifications if we treat intra- and extramural R&D symmetrically. If in compliance with the Frascati manual, we treat intramural R&D as investment and extramural R&D as intermediate input, the estimated net return increases to 5-10 percent.

Keywords: Returns to R&D; Intramural R&D; Extramural R&D; Capitalization of R&D; Dynamic panel data models; GMM

JEL-codes: C33; C52; D24; O38

43 pages, August 2023

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