Scandinavian Working Papers in Economics

Working Papers in Economics,
University of Gothenburg, Department of Economics

No 404: Risk Implications of Farm Technology Adoption in the Ethiopian Highlands

Mahmud Yesuf (), Menale Kassie and Gunnar Köhlin ()
Additional contact information
Mahmud Yesuf: Environment for Development-Kenya, Kenyan Institute for Public Policy Research and Analysis (KIPPRA), Postal: Bishops Garden Towers, 2nd Floor, Bishops Road, Box 56445-00200, Nairobi, Kenya
Menale Kassie: Department of Economics, School of Business, Economics and Law, Göteborg University, Postal: Box 640, SE 40530 GÖTEBORG
Gunnar Köhlin: Department of Economics, School of Business, Economics and Law, Göteborg University, Postal: Box 640, SE 40530 GÖTEBORG

Abstract: In countries where insurance and credit markets are thin or missing, production and consumption risks play a critical role in the choice and use of production inputs and adoption of new farm technologies. In this paper, we investigated impacts of chemical fertilizer and soil and water conservation technologies adoption on production risks, using a moment-based approach and two years of cross-sectional data. A pseudo-fixed-effect model was estimated to generate first, second, and third moments of farm production. Our results revealed that fertilizer adoption reduces yield variability, but increases the risk of crop failure. However, adopting soil and water conservation technology has no impact on yield variability, but reduces the downside risk of crop failure. The results underscore that the risk implications of farm technology adoption vary by technology type. Furthermore, policies that promote adoption of fertilizers should be complemented by desirable instruments that hedge against downside risk. In that respect, if properly implemented, the safety net program and the weather insurance programs currently piloted in some parts of Ethiopia are actions in the right direction.

Keywords: production risks; farm technology; moment-based approach; Ethiopia

JEL-codes: C33; D21; Q16; Q24

17 pages, November 30, 2009

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