Scandinavian Working Papers in Economics

SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance,
Stockholm School of Economics

No 132: Smooth Transition Models

Timo Teräsvirta ()
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Timo Teräsvirta: Department of Economic Statistics, Postal: Stockholm School of Economics, Box 6501, 113 83 Stockholm, Sweden

Abstract: This paper considers smooth transition regression models and their univariate counterparts, smooth transition autoregressive models. The model is defined and thereafter, linearity testing, statistical inference in smooth transition models, and areas of application are discussed. A bivariate application of smooth transition models to testing Granger noncausality between variables is presented using two long Swedish macroeconomic time series.

Keywords: economic modelling; Granger-causality. Linearity testing; nonlinearity; smooth transition regression; switching regression; time series

JEL-codes: C22; C50

29 pages, November 1996

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