() and Timo Teräsvirta
Stefan Lundbergh: Dept. of Economic Statistics, Stockholm School of Economics, Postal: Stockholm School of Economics, P.O. Box 6501, S-113 83 Stockholm, Sweden
Timo Teräsvirta: Dept. of Economic Statistics, Stockholm School of Economics, Postal: Stockholm School of Economics, P.O. Box 6501, S-113 83 Stockholm, Sweden
Abstract: In this paper we introduce the STAR-STGARCH model that can characterize nonlinear behaviour both in the conditional mean and the conditional variance. A modelling cycle for this family of models, consisting of specification, estimation, and evaluation stages is constructed. Misspecification tests for the estimated model are obtained using standard asymptotic distribution theory. We illustrate the actual modelling by applying the STAR-STGARCH model family to two series of daily observations, the Swedish OMX index and the exchange rate JPY-USD.
48 pages, December 18, 1998
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