Working Paper Series,
IFAU - Institute for Evaluation of Labour Market and Education Policy

Abstract: Carling et al (1996) analyze a large data set of unemployed workers in order to examine, inter alia, the effect of unemployment benefits on the escape rate to employment. In this paper we take a closer look at the 20 per cent of workers who were drop-outs and check the empirical justification for modeling attrition as independent right censoring in the analysis of unemployment duration. It may very well be that dropping out, i.e. attrition, often occurs due to employment. In the analysis, we refer to these individuals as misclassified in that they are typically treated as if their unemployment spell went beyond the time of attrition. We propose to follow up the drop-outs by a supplementary sample and apply a Multiple Imputation approach to incorporate the supplementary information. Our follow-up study revealed that 45% dropped out due to employment. The escape rate to employment was as a consequence under-estimated by 20 per cent, implying that the effect of unemployment benefits on the escape rate is likely to be much greater than reported in Carling et al (1996)

Keywords: Follow-up study; Informative censoring; Multiple imputation; Register data; Survival models

JEL-codes: C41; C42

15 pages, September 1, 1998

Full text files

wp01-3.pdf  

Download statistics

Published as

Johan Bring and Kenneth Carling, (2000), 'Attrition and misclassification of drop-outs in the analysis of unemployment duration', Journal of Official Statistics, vol 16, no 4, pages 321-330

• IFAU - Institute for Evaluation of Labour Market and Education Policy
• Ordering Working Papers
• Home page for this series

Questions (including download problems) about the papers in this series should be directed to Ali Ghooloo ()
Report other problems with accessing this service to Sune Karlsson ().

RePEc:hhs:ifauwp:2001_003This page generated on 2024-09-13 22:15:18.