Scandinavian Working Papers in Economics

Working Paper Series,
IFAU - Institute for Evaluation of Labour Market and Education Policy

No 2018:13: Spillover Effects of Stricter Immigration Policies

Cristina Bratu (), Matz Dahlberg (), Mattias Engdahl () and Till Nikolka ()
Additional contact information
Cristina Bratu: Uppsala University, Postal: Uppsala University,Department of Economics, Kyrkogårdsgatan 10, Box 513, 751 20 UPPSALA
Matz Dahlberg: IFAU - Institute for Evaluation of Labour Market and Education Policy, Postal: Institute for Evaluation of Labour Market and Education Policy, P O Box 513, SE-751 20 Uppsala, Sweden
Mattias Engdahl: IFAU - Institute for Evaluation of Labour Market and Education Policy, Postal: Institute for Evaluation of Labour Market and Education Policy, P O Box 513, SE-751 20 Uppsala, Sweden
Till Nikolka: ifo Institute, Postal: ifo Center for International Institutional Comparisons and Migration Research , Poschingerstraße 5 , 81679 München

Abstract: We evaluate the importance of spillover effects of national migration policies by estimating the effect of stricter rules on family reunification in Denmark in 2002 on migration to neighboring countries. We reach two main conclusions. First, we show that stricter rules for reunification lead to a clear and significant increase in emigration of Danish citizens with immigrant background. Most of the emigrants left Denmark for Sweden, a neighboring country in which reunification was possible. Second, we demonstrate that a significant fraction of the individuals that came to Sweden to reunite with a partner left the country again; within two (eight) years around 20% (50%) had left, with the absolute majority leaving for Denmark. Our results indicate that potential spillover effects from national migration policies should be taken into account when forming migration policy.

Keywords: Migration Policy; family reunification; international migration; spillover effects

JEL-codes: F22; J12; J15; K37

50 pages, September 28, 2018

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