Scandinavian Working Papers in Economics

Working Paper Series,
IFAU - Institute for Evaluation of Labour Market and Education Policy

No 2024:2: Reconsidering the cost of job loss: Evidence from redundancies and mass layoffs

Jonas Cederlöf ()
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Jonas Cederlöf: IFAU - Institute for Evaluation of Labour Market and Education Policy, Postal: Institute for Evaluation of Labour Market and Education Policy, P O Box 513, SE-751 20 Uppsala, Sweden

Abstract: This paper studies the consequences of job loss. While previous literature has relied on mass layof fs and plant closures for identification, I exploit discontinuities in the likelihood of dis placement generated by a last-in-first-out rule used at layof fs in Sweden. Matching data on individual layof f notifications to administrative records, I find that permanent earnings losses are only found among workers losing their job in mass layof fs, whereas workers dis placed in smaller layof fs fully recover. Auxiliary analysis suggests that large layof fs increase exposure to non-employment, prolong unemployment and cause workers to leave the labor force, conceivably by affecting the local labor market

Keywords: last-in-first-out; job loss; displaced worker; mass layoff; earnings loss

JEL-codes: J63; J64; J65

Language: English

77 pages, February 6, 2024

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