Scandinavian Working Papers in Economics

Working Paper Series,
IFAU - Institute for Evaluation of Labour Market and Education Policy

No 2026:2: Investigating the impact of integration agreements on labor market outcomes for welfare recipients: A randomized controlled trial

Gerard J van den Berg, Sarah Bernhard, Gesine Stephan and Arne Uhlendorff
Additional contact information
Gerard J van den Berg: U Groningen, UMCG, IFAU
Sarah Bernhard: IAB
Gesine Stephan: IAB, FAU
Arne Uhlendorff: CREST, IAB

Abstract: Integration agreements (IA) outline the efforts the jobseeker should undertake to find employment and specify the services that the caseworker would provide to assist them in their job search. The agreements include a declaration of legal consequences, and punitive benefit sanctions could be imposed based on this declaration. Recent evidence has shown that these IAs are effective for re-cipients of unemployment insurance (UI) benefits. Using a randomized controlled trial, this paper investigates whether IAs support the integration of welfare benefit recipients into the labor market. This integration is of utmost importance from a policy and societal point of view. Newly registered recipients of means-tested benefits were randomly assigned to one of three groups, receiving either a) a standard integration agreement with the accompanying declaration of legal consequences at the beginning of the welfare spell, or b) an integration agreement without such a declaration, or c) no integration agreement within the first six months of the benefit receipt. Findings indicate that, on average, group assignment has no effect on the transition out of welfare or entry into employment. Based on a Random Forest analysis to capture heterogeneity, we find no effect by the degree of labor market prospects either.

Keywords: Social assistance; unemployment; active labor market policy; field experiment.

JEL-codes: I38; J64; J68

Language: English

36 pages, February 10, 2026

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