Working Paper Series,
Royal Institute of Technology, Department of Real Estate and Construction Management & Banking and Finance

Abstract: This paper investigates the differences in subjective views of landlords and retail trade tenants regarding the importance of factors in their rent negotiations. It is explored whether expectations are forward or backward looking as economic activity is increasing after the pandemic. Also, the different levels of trust for institutions, and for the counterpart as organization and individual, are analyzed. The study uses a web-based survey, responses from some 100 landlords and tenants in the Swedish retail sector, and logit regressions. As demand strengthens after the pandemic, indicating a possibility to increase rents, landlords are forward looking at this stage of the business cycle as regards industry developments, while tenants are backward looking or focusing more on the current rents. Tenants focus more on the vacancies and the property value, which are set under pressure due to structural developments. Landlords show a higher trust for their counterpart as an individual than do tenants. The study contributes to an increased understanding of rent negotiations in two sectors facing structural challenges and difficulties due to the pandemic.

Keywords: rent negotiation; real estate landlords; retail trade tenants; forward-looking expectations; adaptive expectations; trust; logit regression; pandemic

JEL-codes: C43; C51; C52; R30; R32

Language: English

33 pages, August 25, 2022

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