Occasional Papers,
National Institute of Economic Research

Abstract: The NIER assesses the long-term sustainability of Sweden’s public finances annually at the government’s request. Public finances can be considered sustainable if government income under current rules is sufficient to fund future expenditure to maintain the public sector commitment. The assessment is based on long-term projections of government income and expenditure under various assumptions. The projection horizon generally extends to 2040, but the report also contains projections through to the year 2100. The aim of sustainability assessments of this kind is not to produce longterm forecasts but to identify potential future imbalances in public finances at an early stage.

Keywords: fiscal sustainability; public finances

76 pages, March 4, 2016

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