Scandinavian Working Papers in Economics

Working Papers,
National Institute of Economic Research

No 54: Emissions to the Air and the Allocation of GDP: Medium Term Projections for Sweden in Conflict with the Goals of CO2, SO2 and NOx Emissions for Year 2000

Göran Östblom ()
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Göran Östblom: National Institute of Economic Research, Postal: National Institute of Economic Research, P.O. Box 3116, SE-103 62 Stockholm, Sweden

Abstract: Implications for CO2, SO2 and NOx emissions of the Government`s medium term economic projections are assessed considering Sweden`s environmental goals. Data from the first environmental accounting matrix of Sweden is exploited within the framework of the inter industry model to give emission multipliers for various components of aggregate demand. It is evident in view of these emission multipliers, that the outlined macroeconomic development does not conform with Sweden`s environmental goals. The oil price and structural changes assumed in the economic projections still further stress the need for strong environmental policy measures to attain the emission goals.

18 pages, November 1, 1996

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