Scandinavian Working Papers in Economics

Working Papers,
National Institute of Economic Research

No 124: Scenarios and Sustainability A Swedish Case Study of Adaptation Tools for Local Decision-Makers

Patrik Baard, Henrik Carlsen, Karin Edvardsson Björnberg and Maria Vredin Johansson ()
Additional contact information
Patrik Baard: National Institute of Economic Research
Henrik Carlsen: National Institute of Economic Research
Karin Edvardsson Björnberg: National Institute of Economic Research
Maria Vredin Johansson: National Institute of Economic Research, Postal: National Institute of Economic Research, P.O. Box 3116, SE-103 62 Stockholm, Sweden

Abstract: Adaptation to climate change often involves long time frames and uncer-tainties over consequences of chosen adaptation measures. In this study, two tools developed for assisting local decision-makers in adaptation planning were tested: socio-economic scenarios and sustainability analy-sis. The objective was to study whether these tools could be of practical relevance to Swedish municipalities and foster local level climate change adaptation. We find that the municipal civil servants who participated in the testing generally considered the tools to be useful and of high rele-vance, but that more time was needed for using the tools than provided during the test process.

Keywords: climate change; adaptation; socio-economic scenarios; goal conflict; cost-benefit analysis

32 pages, September 1, 2011

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