Scandinavian Working Papers in Economics

Working Papers,
National Institute of Economic Research

No 141: IOR – NIER’s Input-Output Model of the Swedish Economy

Tomas Forsfält () and Erik Glans ()
Additional contact information
Tomas Forsfält: National Institute of Economic Research, Postal: National Institute of Economic Research, P.O. Box 3116, SE-103 62 Stockholm, Sweden
Erik Glans: National Institute of Economic Research, Postal: National Institute of Economic Research, P.O. Box 3116, SE-103 62 Stockholm, Sweden

Abstract: The present paper introduces a new version of an input-output model of the Swedish economy (IOR). The model is used at NIER for short term forecasts of imports and sectoral production. It is also used for structural analysis of the Swedish economy. The economy is divided into about 30 products/industries and about 40 final demand categories. For each demand category, it is possible to trace back the supply provided by value added of different industries, including trade margins and merchanting trade, public sector production, imports, taxes and subsidies. This paper presents calculated supply shares for the main components of final demand for the year 2012. An adjustment for the tourist consumption in Sweden is made in such a way that the supply share for household consumption is valid for Swedish households, and the supply shares for exports includes exports to incoming tourists.

Keywords: Input-output; forecasting and simulation; import shares

JEL-codes: C67; D57; E17

25 pages, December 14, 2015

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