Scandinavian Working Papers in Economics

Working Paper Series,
Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden)

No 113: Testing for the Lucas Critique: A Quantitative Investigation

Jesper Lindé ()
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Jesper Lindé: Research Department, Central Bank of Sweden, Postal: Sveriges Riksbank, SE-103 37 Stockholm, Sweden

Abstract: In this paper, I try to shed some new light on the "puzzle" why the Lucas critique, belived to be important by most economists, seems to have received very little empirical support. I use a real business cycle model to examine the properties of the super exogeneity test, which is used to detect the applicability of the Lucas critique in practice. The results suggest that the super exogeneity test is not capable of detecting the relevance of Lucas critique in practice in small samples.

Keywords: Lucas critique; Real business cycle model; Super exogeneity test; Taylor rules; Money demand; Consumption function

JEL-codes: C22; C52; E41

43 pages, November 1, 2000

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Published as
Jesper Lindé, (2001), 'Testing for the Lucas Critique: A Quantitative Investigation', American Economic Review, vol 91, no 4, pages 986-1005

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