Scandinavian Working Papers in Economics
Working Paper Series,
Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden)
No 249: MOSES: Model of Swedish Economic Studies
Gunnar Bårdsen (), Ard den Reijer (), Patrik Jonasson () and Ragnar Nymoen ()
Additional contact information
Gunnar Bårdsen: Department of Economics, Postal: NTNU Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim
Ard den Reijer: Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of Sweden, Postal: Sveriges Riksbank, SE-103 37 Stockholm, Sweden
Patrik Jonasson: Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of Sweden, Postal: Sveriges Riksbank, SE-103 37 Stockholm, Sweden
Ragnar Nymoen: Department of Economics, Postal: University of Oslo
Abstract: MOSES is an aggregate econometric model for Sweden, estimated on quarterly data, and intended for short-term forecasting and policy simulations. After a presentation of qualitative model properties, the econometric methodology is summarized. The model properties, within sample simulations, and examples of dynamic simulation (model forecasts) for the period 2009q2-2012q4 are presented. We address practical issues relating to operational use and maintenance of a macro model of this type. The detailed econometric equations are reported in an appendix.
Keywords: macroeconomic model; policy analysis; general-to-specific modelling
43 pages, January 1, 2011
Full text files
wp249.pdf
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