Scandinavian Working Papers in Economics

UiS Working Papers in Economics and Finance,
University of Stavanger

No 2009/33: What factors affect the Oslo Stock Exchange?

Randi Næs, Johannes Skjeltorp () and Bernt Arne Ødegaard ()
Additional contact information
Randi Næs: Ministry of Trade and Industry, Postal: Oslo
Johannes Skjeltorp: Norges Bank, Postal: Oslo
Bernt Arne Ødegaard: University of Stavanger, Postal: University of Stavanger, NO-4036 Stavanger, Norway

Abstract: This paper analyzes return patterns and determinants at the Oslo Stock Exchange (OSE) in the period 1980--2006. We find that a three-factor model containing the market, a size factor and a liquidity factor provides a reasonable fit for the cross-section of Norwegian stock returns. As expected, oil prices significantly affect cash flows of most industry sectors at the OSE. Oil is, however, not a priced risk factor in the Norwegian stock market. As the case in many other countries, we find that macroeconomic variables affect stock prices, but since we find only weak evidence of these variables being priced in the market, the most reasonable channel for these effects is through company cash flows.

Keywords: Stock Market Valuation; Asset Pricing; Factor Models; Generalized Method of Moments

JEL-codes: E44; G12

61 pages, November 30, 2009

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