Scandinavian Working Papers in Economics

Research Programme in Transport Economics,
Research Programme in Transport Economics

No 2019:3: Estimation of large-scale tour generation model taking travellers' daily tour pattern into account

Ida Kristoffersson (), Svante Berglund and Staffan Algers
Additional contact information
Ida Kristoffersson: Research Programme in Transport Economics, Postal: Forskningsprogrammet TRANSPORTEKONOMI, Att: VTI, Box 55685, 102 15 STOCKHOLM
Svante Berglund: Research Programme in Transport Economics, Postal: Forskningsprogrammet TRANSPORTEKONOMI, Att: VTI, Box 55685, 102 15 STOCKHOLM
Staffan Algers: Research Programme in Transport Economics, Postal: Forskningsprogrammet TRANSPORTEKONOMI, Att: VTI, Box 55685, 102 15 STOCKHOLM

Abstract: Tour generation is conventionally modelled separately per tour purpose. Tours with different purposes are however not generated independently of each other in reality. For example, few travellers conduct more than three tours per day. In this paper, the conventional tour generation model is extended into estimation of a model that takes travellers’ daily tour pattern into account. Results show that access to car and drivers’ licence, having a job and presence of children in the household increase the probability of making many tours in one day. Furthermore, results show that accessibility is an important factor for generation of non-mandatory tours, that weekend and holiday season are important determinants of when tour purposes are generated, that high income increases the probability of conducting business tours as well as tour patterns that include expensive activities and that high income reduces the probability of conducting cheap activities such as visiting friends and family.

Keywords: Tour generation; Large-scale transport model; Tour purpose; Demand model

JEL-codes: R40

26 pages, November 21, 2019

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