Scandinavian Working Papers in Economics
Umeå Economic Studies,
Umeå University, Department of Economics
No 863: Are Central Bank Independence Reforms Necessary for Achieving Low and Stable Inflation?
Sve-Olov Daunfeldt (), Mats Landström () and Niklas Rudholm ()
Additional contact information
Sve-Olov Daunfeldt: The Swedish Retail Institute (HUI), Postal: SE-103 29 Stockholm, Sweden
Mats Landström: Department of Economics, University of Gävle, Postal: SE-801 76 Gävle, Sweden
Niklas Rudholm: Department of Economics, Postal: Dalarna University, SE-781 88 Borlänge, Sweden
Abstract: Using data on the occurrence of central bank independence (CBI) reforms in 131 countries during 1980-2005, we test whether they were important in reducing inflation and maintaining price stability. CBI reforms are found to have reduced inflation on average 3.31% when countries with historically high inflation rates are included. But countries with lower inflation have reduced it without institutional reforms granting central banks more independence, undermining the theoretical time-inconsistency case for CBI. There is furthermore no evidence that CBI reforms have helped reduce inflation variability.
Keywords: inflation; institutional reform; monetary policy; time-inconsistency
36 pages, August 13, 2013
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