Scandinavian Working Papers in Economics
Working Paper Series,
Uppsala University, Department of Economics
No 2006:23: Does Oil Price Uncertainty Transmit to Stock Markets?
Martin Ågren
Additional contact information
Martin Ågren: Department of Economics, Postal: Uppsala University, P.O. Box 513, SE-751 20 Uppsala, Sweden
Abstract: The paper presents an empirical study of volatility spillover from oil prices to stock markets within an asymmetric BEKK model. Using weekly data on the aggregate stock markets of Japan, Norway, Sweden, the U.K., and the U.S., strong evidence of volatility spillover is found for all stock markets but the Swedish one, where only weak evidence is found. News impact surfaces show that, although statistically significant, the volatility spillovers are quantitatively small. The stock market’s own shocks, which are related to other factors of uncertainty than the oil price, are more prominent than oil shocks.
Keywords: Volatility spillover; multivariate GARCH; BEKK; oil shocks; stock market
29 pages, October 17, 2006
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