Scandinavian Working Papers in Economics

Working Paper Series,
Uppsala University, Department of Economics

No 2007:1: Local Economies and General Elections

Mikael Elinder ()
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Mikael Elinder: Department of Economics, Postal: P.O. Box 513, SE-751 20 Uppsala, Sweden

Abstract: This paper estimates voters’ response to municipality and regional level unemployment and economic growth, in Swedish general elections from 1985 to 2002, using data on 284 municipalities and 9 regions. An increase in regional growth or a reduction in regional unemployment by one percentage point is associated with an increase in the support for the national government by about 0.8 and 1.1 percentage points. Changes in unemployment and growth at the municipality level seem to have much smaller effects on government support.

Keywords: elections; voting; local economic conditions

JEL-codes: H11; R11; R12; R58

26 pages, November 23, 2006

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