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Department of Economics, Uppsala University Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Uppsala University

No 2006:16:
Housing Wealth and Aggregate Consumption in Sweden

Jie Chen ()

Abstract: This paper extends the VECM cointegration model and PT (permanent-transitory) variance decomposition framework proposed by Lettau & Ludvigson (2004) and applies them on the Swedish data spanning from 1980q1 to 2004q4. There are strong statistical evidences that the movements of aggregate consumption, disposable income, housing wealth and financial wealth are tied together. However, it also suggests that the short run variations in the Swedish housing market are largely dissociated with consumer spending. Meanwhile, it is shown that the strength of the linkage between consumption and housing wealth is not sensitive to different model specifications and various measures of key variables.

Keywords: housing wealth; consumption; wealth effect; VECM; PT decomposition; (follow links to similar papers)

JEL-Codes: E21; E32; E44; R31; (follow links to similar papers)

52 pages, June 10, 2006

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