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Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland

No 9/2002:
Return-volatility linkages in the international equity and currency markets

Bill B Francis, Iftekhar Hasan () and Delroy M. Hunter

Abstract: This paper, which is motivated by the literature on international asset pricing and recent work on exchange rate determination, investigates dynamic relationshiops between major currency and equity markets. Using a multivariate GARCH framework, we examine conditional cross-autocorrelations between pairs of national equity markets and related exchange rates. This provides a parsimonious way of testing mean-volatility relationships in currency and equity markets and re-examining the robustness of relationships between equity markets, while controlling for exchange rate effects. We find that the relationship between currency and equity markets is bi-directional, significant, persistent, and independent of the relationship strictly between equity markets, and that it is better captured by the conditional second moments.

Keywords: international asset pricing; exchange rate determination; equity markets; relationships between currency and equity markets; (follow links to similar papers)

JEL-Codes: F31; G12; G14; G15; (follow links to similar papers)

39 pages, May 27, 2002

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