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Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland

No 17/2007:
Pre-emptive horizontal mergers: theory and evidence

Jozsef Molnar ()

Abstract: This paper proposes and tests an explanation as to why rational managers seeking to maximize shareholder value can pursue value-decreasing mergers. It can be optimal to overpay for a target firm and decrease shareholder value if the loss is less than in an alternative where the merger is undertaken by a product market rival. This paper presents a model based on synergies, market power and competition for merger targets. Consistent with the model the empirical results obtained here show a strong correlation between the returns of acquiring firms and close rivals around merger events.

Keywords: acquisitions; auction; event study; oligopoly; preemption; (follow links to similar papers)

JEL-Codes: D43; D44; G14; G34; L13; (follow links to similar papers)

37 pages, October 11, 2007

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