Scandinavian Working Papers in Economics

Working papers in Transport Economics,
CTS - Centre for Transport Studies Stockholm (KTH and VTI)

No 2013:8: Spatial, temporal and size distribution of freight train delays: evidence from Sweden

Niclas A. Krüger (), Inge Vierth () and Farzad Fakhraei Roudsari
Additional contact information
Niclas A. Krüger: VTI, Postal: Centrum för Transportstudier (CTS), Teknikringen 10, 100 44 Stockholm, Sweden
Inge Vierth: VTI, Postal: Centrum för Transportstudier (CTS), Teknikringen 10, 100 44 Stockholm, Sweden
Farzad Fakhraei Roudsari: TRENoP, Postal: Centrum för Transportstudier (CTS), Teknikringen 10, 100 44 Stockholm, Sweden

Abstract: This paper analyzes how freight train delays are distributed with respect to size, location and time of their occurrence. Arrival delays are analyzed in detail using data covering all freight train departures and arrivals during 2008 and 2009 in Sweden. Moreover, the link between capacity usage and expected delay is analyzed using the fact that demand fluctuates on different time scales, especially due to the economic chock in 2009. Since the distribution of delays on different scales describe reliability and vulnerability in the rail transport system, the results have potentially important policy implications for rail investment appraisal.

Keywords: Fat-tails; Freight; Delays; Rail; Reliability; Vulnerability

JEL-codes: R41

32 pages, August 5, 2013

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CTS2013-8.pdf PDF-file 

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