Scandinavian Working Papers in Economics

Working Paper Series,
Research Institute of Industrial Economics

No 1495: Partial Retirement and Labor Supply: Evidence from Swedish Collective Bargaining Agreements

Emil Bustos ()
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Emil Bustos: Research Institute of Industrial Economics (IFN), Postal: Research Institute of Industrial Economics, Box 55665, SE-102 15 Stockholm, Sweden

Abstract: Aging populations strain pension systems, prompting policymakers to introduce partial retirement schemes to incentivize workers to retire later. I study the impact of introducing partial retirement within collective bargaining agreements in Sweden’s manufacturing sector in 2013. Merging collective bargaining data with administrative records, I employ a difference-in-differences methodology to analyze the labor market trajectories of eligible and ineligible cohorts around the introduction year. The results reveal a nuanced picture: while eligible workers are more likely to work and claim pension benefits simultaneously, this comes at the expense of a 10% decline in employment rates and a SEK 50,000 reduction in labor earnings. In summary, partial retirement fails to extend working lives, thus undermining its utility as a one-size-fits-all solution to the future of pension systems.

Keywords: Partial Retirement; Pension; Labor Supply

JEL-codes: D15; J26; J32

Language: English

40 pages, June 26, 2024

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