Scandinavian Working Papers in Economics

Working Paper Series,
Research Institute of Industrial Economics

No 1500: Tolerating Losses for Growth: J-Curves in Venture Capital Investing

Thomas Hellmann (), Alexander Montag () and Joacim Tåg ()
Additional contact information
Thomas Hellmann: Sa¨ıd Business School, Oxford University and NBER
Alexander Montag: Kelley School of Business, Indiana University, and, Postal: Research Institute of Industrial Economics, Box 55665, SE-102 15 Stockholm, Sweden
Joacim Tåg: Research Institute of Industrial Economics (IFN), Postal: Research Institute of Industrial Economics, Box 55665, SE-102 15 Stockholm, Sweden

Abstract: Startups face a trade-off between short-term profitability versus long-term growth where investors tolerate prolonged financial losses. We present a new theory and empirical evidence about the existence and shape of so-called J-curves. The theory predicts that investors facing better exit opportunities have a higher loss tolerance, encouraging startups to pursue more ambitious growth strategies. Empirically, we examine a large Swedish dataset with detailed cash flow information. Swedish startups backed by US venture capitalists experience deeper J-curves than those backed by non-US venture capitalists. They have more successful exits, higher exit values, faster sales growth, and more follow-on funding.

Keywords: Venture capital; Loss tolerance; J-curves; Entrepreneurship; Exits

JEL-codes: F39; G24; L26; O16

Language: English

75 pages, August 27, 2024

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