Scandinavian Working Papers in Economics

Working Paper Series,
Research Institute of Industrial Economics

No 1510: How Has the War in Ukraine Affected Russian Sentiments?

Mikael Elinder (), Oscar Erixson () and Olle Hammar ()
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Mikael Elinder: Department of Economics, Uppsala University
Oscar Erixson: Institute for Housing and Urban Research, Uppsala University
Olle Hammar: Department of Economics and Statistics, Linnaeus University., Postal: Institute for Future Studies, Research Institute of Industrial Economics (IFN), and IZA,

Abstract: We analyze the effects of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the partial military mobilization, and the Wagner Group rebellion on a broad set of sentiments in the Russian population, using the exogenous timing of surveys from Gallup World Poll and the Levada Center. Our results show strong rally ‘round the flag effects and widespread domestic support for the war, sustained despite high casualties through strategic recruitment and economic compensations. While it thus seems unlikely that a public uprising will end the war soon, we also find that sentiments among Russians abroad have shifted against Putin, aligning with global views.

Keywords: War; Russia; Sentiments; Rally ‘round the flag; Putin

JEL-codes: D72; F51; H56

Language: English

45 pages, November 26, 2024

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