Scandinavian Working Papers in Economics

Working Paper Series,
Research Institute of Industrial Economics

No 1529: Successful Entrepreneurs Come from the Top of the Earned Income Distribution

Niklas Garnadt (), Lena Füner (), Konrad Stahl () and Joacim Tåg ()
Additional contact information
Lena Füner: Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW), TUM, and IAB
Konrad Stahl: University of Mannheim, CEPR, CESifo and ZEW
Joacim Tåg: Research Institute of Industrial Economics (IFN), Postal: Stockholm, Sweden, and Hanken School of Economics, Helsinki, Finland

Abstract: Identifying high growth startups ex-ante and fostering their success is an important policy challenge. Using Swedish registry data, we show that previous labor market earnings of entrepreneurs is a simple observable that is strongly correlated with entrepreneurship success. Entrepreneurs from the top decile of income from dependent employment are four times more likely to succeed than those from the lowest decile. Their firms are larger and more productive from the outset, and this effect intensifies over time. This correlation is virtually unaffected by variations in the entrepreneurs’ personal traits. It does also not vary across the business cycle.

Keywords: Entrepreneurship; High-growth startups; Labor income; Unemployment

JEL-codes: J24; L26; M13

Language: English

19 pages, August 5, 2025

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