Scandinavian Working Papers in Economics

Working Papers,
Lund University, Department of Economics

No 2021:1: Credit Risk in a Pandemic

Hans Byström ()
Additional contact information
Hans Byström: Department of Economics, Lund University, Postal: Department of Economics, School of Economics and Management, Lund University, Box 7082, S-220 07 Lund, Sweden

Abstract: Using different measures of how the Covid-19 pandemic progresses we find that the level of credit risk among US blue chip companies increases in tandem with the Covid-19 virus spreading. The credit risk increases dramatically during the pandemic, but we find it to be short of the levels seen during the 2008–2009 financial crisis. Furthermore, we find weekly ups and downs in credit risk and virus impact to be significantly positively correlated throughout the pandemic. Finally, Basel II capital requirements increase drastically when the pandemic strikes but, again, not to the levels seen during the financial crisis.

Keywords: credit risk; Covid-19; equity market; debt market; CDS; Merton model; Basel II

JEL-codes: G10; G33; I18

31 pages, January 4, 2021

Note: Forthcoming in Journal of Fixed Income

Download statistics

Questions (including download problems) about the papers in this series should be directed to Prakriti Thami ()
Report other problems with accessing this service to Sune Karlsson ().

This page generated on 2021-12-07 07:46:09.